Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.004072 0.004468 0.004893 0.005384 0.005939 0.006548 0.007268
2025-08-24 0.003388 0.003931 0.004557 0.005337 0.006291 0.007429 0.008906
2025-08-31 0.002938 0.003531 0.004246 0.005181 0.006388 0.007913 0.010023
2025-09-07 0.002671 0.003302 0.004091 0.005166 0.006616 0.008543 0.011364
2025-09-14 0.002530 0.003208 0.004084 0.005320 0.007061 0.009486 0.013232
2025-09-21 0.002325 0.003006 0.003910 0.005223 0.007136 0.009905 0.014384
2025-09-28 0.002151 0.002830 0.003751 0.005126 0.007189 0.010283 0.015505
2025-10-05 0.002030 0.002716 0.003666 0.005120 0.007369 0.010860 0.017012
2025-10-12 0.001954 0.002658 0.003653 0.005214 0.007704 0.011710 0.019091
2025-10-19 0.001843 0.002539 0.003542 0.005148 0.007775 0.012130 0.020467
2025-10-26 0.001756 0.002451 0.003469 0.005133 0.007922 0.012689 0.022175
2025-11-02 0.001662 0.002346 0.003363 0.005055 0.007954 0.013045 0.023539
2025-11-09 0.001597 0.002284 0.003322 0.005087 0.008190 0.013817 0.025924
2025-11-16 0.001519 0.002196 0.003236 0.005038 0.008282 0.014340 0.027896
2025-11-23 0.001426 0.002081 0.003101 0.004893 0.008182 0.014478 0.029046
2025-11-30 0.001369 0.002019 0.003044 0.004879 0.008323 0.015106 0.031433
2025-12-07 0.001347 0.002011 0.003076 0.005023 0.008777 0.016430 0.035774
2025-12-14 0.001282 0.001930 0.002983 0.004933 0.008762 0.016761 0.037685
2025-12-21 0.001222 0.001855 0.002893 0.004842 0.008737 0.017066 0.039593
2025-12-28 0.001182 0.001809 0.002850 0.004836 0.008886 0.017778 0.042782
2026-01-04 0.001159 0.001792 0.002857 0.004924 0.009237 0.019004 0.047761
2026-01-11 0.001114 0.001734 0.002789 0.004863 0.009263 0.019457 0.050532
2026-01-18 0.001079 0.001693 0.002747 0.004848 0.009389 0.020175 0.054330